Football betting is not easy at all and for those who think it is just about knowing football or watching highlights or maybe reading match previews from the sites that are popular, then it is clear that they have not yet understood how things work when it comes to football betting and the truth is that even those who understand are still trying to keep up with how fast it changes.
Most of the people who are losing bets today are not losing because they are picking bad teams or because they don’t know the names of top clubs — it is because they are not looking at the statistics that matter before they are placing the bets that they are hoping will give them profit.
If you want to bet and actually stand a chance to win, then you have to take time and look at the statistics and not just glance through them but to actually sit and ask yourself what do these stats mean and how are they going to help you know what the game will likely bring.
So that is why this page is not going to give you predictions or tips but it is going to talk about how to analyze football statistics in a way that even if you don’t have full understanding of betting you can still get the idea of how this thing works and maybe try to use it.
You Start with the Head-to-Head
One of the best ways to understand what a game might look like is to go and check how the two teams have played against each other before now and you do this not because you want to copy the past scorelines but because you want to see if there is a trend or a kind of behaviour that always shows up when they play.
There are teams that just always win when they face a certain club and even if the other team is in good form or they have new players or new coach, that record still finds a way to show itself and if you do not know this before you play the game then you are entering that match with blind confidence.
So what to check is simple — check the last three or five times that they played and check how many goals were scored and check who won and even check if there was any red card or penalty or anything that made the game different from normal because those little things are part of what you are using to get understanding.
Check How the Team Have Been Playing of Late
The form of a team is another thing that is very important when you are trying to understand what is likely going to happen in a match and this one is very easy to miss because some people still think that a team’s performance in August is going to mean anything in December and that is not how it works at all.
What you want to see is how they are playing now and not what they did three months ago — because if they have been losing games in the last few weeks or maybe drawing matches that they should win or maybe they are struggling to score goals, then that is enough sign that you should be careful with them.
And this one works both ways because a team that is not popular or that people think is weak can suddenly go on a run of form and start beating bigger clubs and if you are still thinking they are weak just because of the name, then you are going to play against them and lose your ticket for no good reason.
Look into the Teams Home and Away Stats
Some bettors do not check this one at all and it is always surprising because it is one of the things that can tell you the real picture of the game especially when the two teams look equal or close in strength — but then one of them is playing at home.
There are teams that play well when they are home and the crowd is backing them and they know the pitch and they are confident but when they travel and play away from home, you start to see mistakes and panic and lack of rhythm and that thing can affect the whole game no matter how good they are.
So you have to check how the home team has been performing at home and then also check how the away team has been doing in their last few away matches and when you put the two side by side, you will now be able to see if this game is something that is worth touching or if you should just leave it alone.
Check for Goal Scoring Trends
This one is for those that like to play over 2.5 or maybe under 3.5 or both teams to score or even clean sheet bets and what you need to understand is that you cannot pick these kinds of bets just by looking at team names or guessing based on what you want.
You have to go and look at how many goals each team has been scoring and also how many goals they have been conceding and you need to do it for like 5 matches at least before you say okay I want to try this goal market because at least you now have information.
There are teams that win games but they don’t score plenty goals and there are also teams that score goals but they also concede anyhow and those are the things that determine whether a BTTS or an over 2.5 is going to make sense or not so please don’t just assume based on big club small club mentality.
Motivation and Win Drive for the Team
This one is what some people call motivation or hunger or urgency and even though it is not a statistic in the normal sense it is still something you are supposed to check when you are doing your pre-bet thinking and that is because it can change how the game goes.
If a team is already safe on the table or maybe they have already qualified or they are resting players for Champions League or they just sacked their coach or anything like that — then you have to factor it in because it will affect the way the team approaches that match.
You might see a team that is 4th on the table and expect them to win against a team that is 17th but what you don’t know is that the 17th team is playing for survival and the 4th team is just trying to avoid injury so they can focus on Europe and then your prediction spoils and you start blaming prediction site.
Don’t Stress — Just Use the Stats That Are Already There
You don’t need to carry calculator or sit with a notebook to do analysis because many of the good prediction sites already show you the things that you should be looking at and all you have to do is read and think.
Sites like JeoTips and FlashPredict have all these information on their daily predictions page and what they do is they give you the form and the goal records and the h2h and even their own confidence rating.
Final Word Before You Place That Bet
We are not saying that checking stats will give you 100 percent win because even the best stats can be wrong sometimes but what we are saying is that you should not be betting without checking these things first.
Because if you keep playing your bets without doing the simple checks like form and h2h and goals and league position and home record, then you are just hoping that luck will carry you and most times it won’t.
So go back and look at the match well and if the stats are not convincing or the game does not feel right, you can leave it and find another one because sometimes the best win is the game that you did not play.
